# Is it possible to make a stock futures prediction model?

**URL:** <https://discuss.elastic.co/t/is-it-possible-to-make-a-stock-futures-prediction-model/354688>\
**Category:** Kibana\
**Tags:** elastic-stack-machine-learning\
**Created:** [March 5, 2024, 4:38am UTC](https://discuss.elastic.co/t/is-it-possible-to-make-a-stock-futures-prediction-model/354688 "2024-03-05T04:38:17Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 3\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![hoseok210](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/elastic/user_avatar/discuss.elastic.co/hoseok210/32/121477_2.png) [@hoseok210](https://discuss.elastic.co/u/hoseok210)\
**Post date:** [March 5, 2024, 4:38am UTC](https://discuss.elastic.co/t/is-it-possible-to-make-a-stock-futures-prediction-model/354688/1 "2024-03-05T04:38:17Z")

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I'd like to make a model that predicts stock price fluctuations, so can I make it while following the guide document at the bottom?

> **[Predicting numerical values with regression | Machine Learning in the Elastic...](https://www.elastic.co/guide/en/machine-learning/8.12/ml-dfa-regression.html#dfa-regression-deploy)**

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**Author:** ![iulia](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/elastic/user_avatar/discuss.elastic.co/iulia/32/124658_2.png) [@iulia](https://discuss.elastic.co/u/iulia)\
**Post date:** [March 13, 2024, 4:22pm UTC](https://discuss.elastic.co/t/is-it-possible-to-make-a-stock-futures-prediction-model/354688/2 "2024-03-13T16:22:54Z")

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Hi,

You can make a regression model for your index with that guide (either through the UI or with a programming language client of your choice like Python).

A regression model can detect and predict trends if you have the right historical data, with the appropriate features, and the type of task fits a simple regression model.

You can start with a toy dataset with existing labels to test out how well the model performs - the guide should help you with that.

However, "predict stock fluctuation" is probably too complex and vague of a task to be solved with a regression model even if you optimize it.

Hope this helps!

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**Author:** ![system](https://us1.discourse-cdn.com/elastic/original/3X/1/a/1ac57faf039f6b580b3f104ef42a2a89e41014de.png) [@system](https://discuss.elastic.co/u/system)\
**Post date:** [April 10, 2024, 4:23pm UTC](https://discuss.elastic.co/t/is-it-possible-to-make-a-stock-futures-prediction-model/354688/3 "2024-04-10T16:23:02Z")

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Closed on April 10, 2024, 4:23pm UTC

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