Elastic search snapshot size estimate

Continuing the discussion from Elasticsearch Snapshot repository size estimates:

Continuing the discussion can someone with experience comment on this ?
How much memory should I have assuming my data grows from 200 gb to 400 gb over a period of time let's say 1 year and ES take a snapshot in every 30 mins .
Will the total memory of snapshots i.e all the snapshots upto that point will be equal or in range of current index size which are snapshotting ?

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