ML Trend Analysis

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1

I'm trying the ML beta on a sample of the kind of data I wish to analyse and track with it. I'm not sure if I've got it set up correctly but I can't see this working properly for the traffic profile.

ml-graph.PNG1723×514 68.7 KB

I can see how the blue shaded area starts to track the values at the start (which is a weekend), but when we get into the working week, the traffic pattern seems to make the model wildly inaccurate. For example, part way through the week, the model start to accept -100,00 as an acceptable value. I'm hoping we can get this working to track the traffic line very closely, and take into account the drop in traffic levels over the weekend.

2

Hi Steve. The model needs to see 2-3 periods before it detects a periodicity type. For daily periodicity, that means 2-3 days. For weekly periodicity, 2-3 weeks. In your case, we're talking about weekly periodicity (on top of daily periodicity). Could you please feed 3 (or more) weeks of data and see what happens?

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I'll have to get back to you in a couple of weeks time. :slight_smile:

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